Они заплатят за постройку стены...
Dec. 18th, 2016 05:15 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
reytsmanИнтересный побочный момент. Повышение ставок в США означает что облигации США только что стали ещё выгоднее. Если их начнут скупать вместо китайских начнётся отток капитала из Китая. Китайцы могли бы поднять свою ставку, но это ещё более затормозит рост их экономики. Забавная вещь экономика.... за 8 лет все привыкли к определённым правилам, даже выросло поколение которые считает что так было всегда... и тут эффект Трампа сносит все привычные правила. В такие времена преимущества у тех, кто успеет быстрее понять, что изменилось, большие бюрократии вроде Китая или Евросоюза вынужденны играть в догонялки. На финансовых крынках национальные вложения это довольно крупные игроки... часть из которых повязана по рукам и ногам исходя из логики последних восьми лет.
An interest rate decision in the United States is causing a dilemma for Beijing.
The U.S. dollar index surged to a near 14-year high following the Fed's rate hike on Wednesday and its surprise forecast for three more hikes — instead of the two that were expected previously — to come in 2017.
Higher interest rates in the United States make it tempting for China to raise its own rates, because Beijing doesn't want more money to flee the country into higher-yielding U.S. bonds. That flight also hurts China's currency, the yuan. But Beijing could get its economy into trouble by raising rates, since its continued economic growth is very heavily driven by borrowing.
"You had this pressure that was already building, and the Fed has basically complicated and added to that with a more hawkish message," said Logan Wright, director, China markets research at Rhodium Group.
http://marketconservative.com/articles/the-us-federal-reserve-is-pushing-china-into-a-messy-catch-22
An interest rate decision in the United States is causing a dilemma for Beijing.
The U.S. dollar index surged to a near 14-year high following the Fed's rate hike on Wednesday and its surprise forecast for three more hikes — instead of the two that were expected previously — to come in 2017.
Higher interest rates in the United States make it tempting for China to raise its own rates, because Beijing doesn't want more money to flee the country into higher-yielding U.S. bonds. That flight also hurts China's currency, the yuan. But Beijing could get its economy into trouble by raising rates, since its continued economic growth is very heavily driven by borrowing.
"You had this pressure that was already building, and the Fed has basically complicated and added to that with a more hawkish message," said Logan Wright, director, China markets research at Rhodium Group.
http://marketconservative.com/articles/the-us-federal-reserve-is-pushing-china-into-a-messy-catch-22
